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Are the Flyers Bad at Drafting or Just Unlucky?

(Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)

One of, if not the most important reason as to why the Philadelphia Flyers have continued to struggle over the last nearly two decades has been their inability to draft top-end talent. For the most part, the Flyers have drafted primarily in the low-to-mid teens of the first round, which while it can lead to some level of success, it’s not a sustainable way to developing top-end talent.

They’ve had the luxury of drafting within the top-5 only twice since 2008 and both of their selections never panned out with Nolan Patrick struggling with injuries and consistency and Cutter Gauthier refusing to sign his ELC and requesting a trade.

Additionally, they’ve drafted in the top-10 another four times since 2008 with Sean Couturier (2011), Ivan Provorov (2015), Matvei Michkov (2023), and Porter Martone (2025). Couturier had an impactful peak between 2017 and 2023 before injuries took their toll, Ivan Provorov had hit a wall before being dealt to Columbus, and currently Michkov and Martone are too young to get a read on their present and future.

In between those selections, the Flyers picked Samuel Morin 11th in 2013, Travis Sanheim 17th in 2014, German Rubtsov 22nd in 2016, Joel Farabee 14th and Jay O’Brien 19th in 2018, Cam York 14th in 2019, Tyson Foerster 23rd in 2020, Jett Luchanko 13th in 2024, and Jack Nesbitt 12th in 2025.

Sanheim was seen as a reach by Ron Hextall at the time, but has become a staple on their backend, despite inconsistencies for the better part of his career. Farabee and Morgan Frost had a few flashes in the pan, but nothing to write home about, after essentially being acquired for in-his-prime Brayden Schenn.

Rubtsov and O’Brien were just massive swings and misses from the Flyers, York might’ve been Chuck Fletcher’s biggest gamble with who was still left on the board and his current inconsistencies, leaving Foerster as the only plus in an otherwise mundane group.

Of those selections, you can make the argument that the Flyers were rebuilding or in a rebuild for anywhere between 5 and 6 prospects. First round picks in any capacity are important for rebuilding teams, but the quality of picks are that much more important when you’re a team like the Flyers who lack star power anywhere in their system.

They had some draft luck with Michkov dropping into their laps with the 7th overall pick in 2023. His draft stock took a beating and many teams were scared off by a myriad of rumours. You could make an argument about draft luck with Martone as well, considering he was seen as a top-3 or top-4 pick for most of his draft year.

Caleb Desnoyers, Brady Martin, and even Jake O’Brien saw massive swings in their draft stock leading into the event, which left the Flyers with the opportunity to select either Martone or James Hagens at number 6.

Despite the luck, the Flyers’ pipeline right now is filled with projected 2-3Cs and middle-pair defensemen. While there should be excitement about prospects like Luchanko, Nesbitt, Jack Berglund, and Heikki Ruohonen, they aren’t seen as needle-movers. With where they keep drafting, that won’t change in the near future either.

What also won’t help is where they’re currently situated in the standings. As of today, the Flyers are 22nd in the league but only a few points away from being mid-table. One good stretch post-Olympics could see the Flyers move to 13th or 14th in the league, but the problem is that the Eastern Conference is incredibly deep this year.

The 8th-ranked playoff team in the Eastern Conference is ranked 11th in the league. Colorado, Minnesota, and Dallas are 1-2-3 league-wide, followed by eight Eastern Conference foes. If the Flyers were in the Western Conference, they’d be 3 points out of the final Wild Card spot and the third spot in the Pacific Division.

So there’s a reality that in which the Flyers miss the playoffs – which you would think is good for procurement of a high draft pick – but still end up somewhere mid-table because the West is much weaker than the East as a whole.

Columbus, for example, is the 13th-best team in the standings, but are on the outside looking in on a playoff spot because they’re four points back of Boston for a Wild Card spot and 2 points behind the New York Islanders for third in the Metropolitan Division.

The Flyers are also closer to the Bruins, who are ranked 9th league-wide, than they are to the New York Rangers, who are sitting 30th. That won’t bode well for their chances of drafting a high-end talent that they desperately need.

Things can change on a whim and they can go on a 10-game losing streak, or they can find some lottery luck and have a massive jump like the Islanders did last year, but the odds seem stacked against them.

They’re content with how they’re positioned in the present and for the future, and they don’t seem at all worried about the fact that they don’t have legitimate centre or defensive prospect coming through the system in the near future.

CEO Dan Hilferty sat down for an interview with Snow The Goalie’s Russ Joy, Anthony SanFilippo, and Chris Therien during the Flyers Charities Carnival, and essentially said that they’re going to try to “stay at the rim” – or in other words, they’re going to try to make the playoffs, and if they don’t, they won’t categorize it as a failed season.

The Flyers are poised to come out of their rebuild in the near future with very little to show for. While there’s been nice improvements within the pipeline with the likes of Denver Barkey as an example, it doesn’t stray away from the fact that they’re one of the few teams league-wide without legitimate star talent.

Travis Konecny is probably their best drafted and developed player at the moment, and if stacked league-wide with what everyone else has to offer, they’d maybe come out on top over the likes of Calgary, Seattle, and debatably, St. Louis.

Colorado’s core was drafted within the top-10 with Nathan MacKinnon going first overall, Gabriel Landeskog going 2nd, Cale Makar going 4th, and the since-departed Mikko Rantanen 1oth. Toronto’s failed decade still produced elite talent in Auston Matthews (1st), Mitch Marner (4th), and William Nylander (7th).

Edmonton’s dynamic duo were taken within the first three picks of their draft with Connor McDavid going first and Leon Draisaitl going third. A big part of Tampa Bay’s core was Steven Stamkos (1st overall) and Victor Hedman (2nd overall), and looking to the future, Macklin Celebrini and Connor Bedard look like absolute studs.

The Flyers don’t have any of that right now. In fact their NHL roster is probably their optimized lineup, which includes Christian Dvorak, Noah Cates, and Couturier as their top-3 centres.

They’ve whiffed and miscalculated on talent over the years by reaching for Luchanko instead of taking the best player available, which would have been either Zeev Buium or Konsta Helenius. They did the same thing this past year with Nesbitt when Jackson Smith, Kashawn Aitcheson, and Victor Eklund were still on the board.

They made the same mistake when letting Cole Caufield slip through their fingers when they, not only traded down with Arizona, but then bypassed him again when they were back on the board. Or even when they selected Pascal Laberge over the 100+ point Alex DeBrincat in the second round in 2016.

Time and again, the Flyers have decided to go “their” way when it comes to drafting, and time and again they’ve been proven wrong. Claude Giroux was their best selection over the last two decades and he was a late first rounder. He also wasn’t their first choice because they wanted Trevor Lewis, but Ron Hextall and the Los Angeles Kings swooped in and took him, leaving the Flyers bewildered at the podium.

A happy accident turned into an all-time franchise player, but since then there’s been very little to celebrate. Couturier had a good run before his injuries took a toll, Provorov had a few good seasons as the 1D, and Konecny has really stepped up his game over the last few years for a downtrodden, playoff-less team.

Taking a look at recent drafts, the Flyers have 24 games out of their 6 selections from the 2021 draft, with Aleksei Kolosov taking 21 of them. They have 1 game from their 6 picks in the 2o22 draft class, where they selected Cutter Gauthier in the first round, with the only game coming from Devin Kaplan in last year’s season finale in Buffalo.

It could be too early to tell, but from their 2023 draft class, they have 155 games from their 10 selections, with 134 of them coming from Michkov. However, the bottom-half of their selections aren’t anywhere close to cracking the NHL roster, and the two goaltenders they took in the middle rounds are still years away.

They’ve since made 16 selections between the 2024 and 2025 draft with a lot of hope being pinned on Martone, Nesbitt, and Luchanko. Berglund, Ruohonen, and Max Westergård had great World Junior performances, but the rest leave of a lot to be desired.

Considering their need for goaltending, the fact they haven’t drafted one in the last two years speaks volumes as well. They sat and watched Samuel Ersson, Ivan Fedotov, and Kolosov put together one of the worst seasons in NHL history between the pipes and decided to neglect the position.

While there’s a lot of optimism around Carson Bjarnason and Egor Zavragin, you need an abundance of depth for a position that doesn’t develop like the rest; the more the merrier with at least one coming out on top.

However, beyond what’s missing, they’re going to need to properly develop a lot of what they currently have in the system if they intend to make a difference in the NHL, but we’ve rarely seen that in Philadelphia either.

What could help the Flyers this year is that the draft class is headlined with wingers at the very top in Gavin McKenna and Ivar Stenberg. After the duo, you have centres like Tynan Lawrence, Caleb Malhotra, and Viggo Bjork, and a plethora of defensemen in Carson Carels, Keaton Verhoeff, Chase Reid, and Alberts Smits.

The Flyers need one of those players in their system badly, but if they continue to stick around NHL-purgatory, they’re destined for another middle of the road draft pick that doesn’t have the upside their pipeline craves.

The way the top executives spoke at the Carnival also doesn’t bode well. They all seem disconnected and disjointed as to what the path really is. Rick Tocchet wants to win now, Keith Jones needs to remind his coaching staff to utilize the youngsters more, Dan Hilferty is okay with being on the outside looking in, and Daniel Brière came out of the woodwork to say the deadline will be quiet because the Flyers won’t sell or buy.

Drafting might not be their strong suit after nearly 2 decades of incompetence, which might force the Flyers to have to gauge the trade market for the centres and defensemen they’re looking to build around.

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